← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Preston win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Preston −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 56' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 71' | 🟨 | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rocco Vata · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 326.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1438.87 | 1461.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.99 | 7.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.64 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.15 | — |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.79 |