← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| QPR win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| QPR −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kieran Morgan · QPR |
| 64' | ⚽ | Kenneth Paal · QPR |
| 70' | ⚽ | Koki Saito · QPR |
| 73' | 🟨 | João Pedro · Hull |
| 84' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 51.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1393.06 | 1444.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.81 | 22.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.41 | — |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 248.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.40 |