← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Hull win | 15% | 6.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds +1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Hull +1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Hull |
| 46' | ⚽ | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 62' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 72' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 81' | ⚽ | João Pedro · Hull |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joe Rodon · Leeds |
| 89' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 34.00 | 553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.80 |
| elo | 1374.78 | 1588.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.00 | 21.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 68.00 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 13.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 1.76 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | 1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.15 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 79.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 0.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 2.05 |