← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Preston win | 23% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 35' | ⚽ | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 40' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 42' | 🟨 | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 70' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jack Whatmough · Preston |
| 89' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 0.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1495.10 | 1474.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.53 | 26.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.87 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.51 | — |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.71 |