← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Hull win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Preston −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 60' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 147.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1454.11 | 1375.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.56 | -12.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.20 |