← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Preston win | 16% | 6.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leeds +1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 32' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 58' | 🟨 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 88' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jack Whatmough · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 135.00 | 532.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1462.58 | 1567.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.50 | 21.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 3.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | 1.37 |
| solidity v1 | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.03 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.71 | 1.86 |