← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Preston win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Cardiff −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 48' | ⚽ (og) | Calum Chambers · Preston |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joe Ralls · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 101.00 | 132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.83 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1385.94 | 1447.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.04 | -11.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 11.20 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.79 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.24 | — |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 0.80 |