← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Preston win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Stoke −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 53' | 🟨 | Freddie Woodman · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 90' | 🟥 | Freddie Woodman · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 86.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1466.61 | 1443.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.39 | -29.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.01 |