← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Portsmouth win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Portsmouth +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Connor Ogilvie · Portsmouth |
| 50' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 68' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 678.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1500.48 | 1458.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.94 | -9.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.36 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.56 |