← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Nov 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Sunderland win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sunderland +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 37' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 59' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 97.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1458.98 | 1513.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.58 | 35.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 72.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 14.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.11 |