← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Plymouth win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Preston +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 16' | ⚽ | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 41' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 46' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 48' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 55' | ⚽ | Frederick Issaka · Plymouth |
| 82' | ⚽ | Andre Gray · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 178.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1526.76 | 1472.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.14 | 9.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.69 |