← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 63% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Preston win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Preston −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jack Whatmough · Preston |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 43' | ⚽ | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 60' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 74' | 🟨 | Freddie Woodman · Preston |
| 86' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 714.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1684.45 | 1541.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.82 | -41.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.90 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | -0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 1.26 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.11 | 23.10 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.06 | 0.57 |