← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 73% | 67% | 1.34 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | 5.67 | value: +6% |
| Dordrecht win | 10% | 14% | 9.67 | value: +36% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dordrecht | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 652.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1386.17 | 1726.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.23 | -19.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.55 |
| league points | 15.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.85 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |