← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 66% | 68% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 20% | 4.94 | fair |
| Dordrecht win | 14% | 12% | 7.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 645.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1540.74 | 1393.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.78 | -8.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| league points | 31.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.60 |
| state index | -0.51 | -1.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |