← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 89% | 92% | 1.05 | fair |
| Draw | 8% | 5% | 13.00 | fair |
| Dordrecht win | 4% | 3% | 26.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 631.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1799.13 | 1385.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.87 | -2.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| league points | 61.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.65 | 0.52 |
| state index | 1.65 | -1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |