← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 70% | 62% | 1.40 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 22% | 5.28 | value: +18% |
| Dordrecht win | 12% | 16% | 8.18 | value: +29% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 624.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1506.87 | 1395.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.39 | 2.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| league points | 24.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.55 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.87 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |