← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Fri, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 78% | 85% | 1.25 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 15% | 11% | 6.66 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 7% | 4% | 13.40 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 644.00 | 674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1706.71 | 1354.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.98 | -19.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 56.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.96 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.79 |
| state index | 1.05 | -1.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |