← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 44% | 48% | 2.15 | fair |
| Graafschap win | 30% | 26% | 3.30 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Graafschap | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 742.00 | 3057.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1432.43 | 1626.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.81 | 24.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 2.12 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 25.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.95 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.89 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |