← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag win | 69% | 75% | 1.36 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 15% | 5.00 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 11% | 11% | 8.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 256.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1536.51 | 1385.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.32 | -1.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| league points | 38.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.59 |
| state index | 1.03 | -0.91 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |