← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 47% | 45% | 1.95 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.30 | fair |
| Graafschap win | 26% | 27% | 3.80 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Graafschap | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 21.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1365.63 | 1517.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.92 | -11.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.04 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |