← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 68% | 69% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | 4.50 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 12% | 8% | 8.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 288.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1589.44 | 1444.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.34 | 17.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 51.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 0.93 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |