← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 45% | 48% | 2.05 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 29% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VVV Venlo | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1972.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1451.42 | 1563.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.07 | 8.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| league points | 23.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.76 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |