← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 64% | 68% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 3.75 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 12% | 8% | 7.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1540.03 | 1425.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.45 | -46.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| league points | 35.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.83 |
| state index | 0.14 | -1.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |