← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sat, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 53% | 59% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | 3.50 | fair |
| Graafschap win | 21% | 18% | 4.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Graafschap | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 861.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1447.69 | 1587.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.57 | -14.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 26.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.78 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |