← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam win | 49% | 57% | 1.85 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | 3.40 | fair |
| VVV Venlo win | 24% | 21% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1678.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1417.56 | 1441.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.68 | -24.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| state index | -0.35 | -1.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |