← Ligue 1 2017-18 · Sat, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Brisard Jerome, France
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC win | 73% | 78% | 1.31 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 16% | 6.15 | fair |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 win | 11% | 7% | 8.60 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Presnel Kimpembe · Paris Saint-Germain FC |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Adrien Hunou · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris Saint-Germain FC | Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Parc des Princes |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 710.00 | 192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1988.02 | 1676.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.31 | -3.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| league points | 92.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 89.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.56 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.09 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 24.51 |
| state index | 1.40 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |