← Ligue 1 2017-18 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sebastien Moreira, France
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 win | 46% | 41% | 2.11 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 35% | 3.42 | value: +18% |
| Angers SCO win | 25% | 24% | 3.86 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Benjamin André · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 8' | 🟨 | Ramy Bensebaini · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Hamari Traoré · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Angers SCO |
| 39' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Angers SCO |
| 39' | 🟥 | Prince Oniangué · Angers SCO |
| 43' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Angers SCO |
| 75' | 🟨 | Yoann Andreu · Angers SCO |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mateo Pavlović · Angers SCO |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Roazhon Park |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 80.00 | 2395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.17 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1551.48 | 1524.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.36 | 15.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |