← all backtests · ml_gbm_v1 · seasons 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13, 2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16, 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · markets 1x2, ou_goals_2_5, btts
| Market | Bets | Staked | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 8617 | $143921 | -7306 | -5.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals | 1201 | $22103 | -1799 | -8.1% |
| Season | Bets | P&L | Running |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-09 | 620 | -874 | -874 |
| 2009-10 | 600 | -1667 | -2541 |
| 2010-11 | 611 | -809 | -3350 |
| 2011-12 | 583 | -332 | -3682 |
| 2012-13 | 644 | -406 | -4088 |
| 2013-14 | 644 | -339 | -4427 |
| 2014-15 | 498 | -244 | -4671 |
| 2015-16 | 511 | -477 | -5148 |
| 2016-17 | 529 | +268 | -4880 |
| 2017-18 | 488 | -191 | -5072 |
| 2018-19 | 408 | +514 | -4558 |
| 2019-20 | 491 | -932 | -5490 |
| 2020-21 | 668 | -1538 | -7028 |
| 2021-22 | 531 | -153 | -7181 |
| 2022-23 | 548 | -442 | -7623 |
| 2023-24 | 599 | -1740 | -9363 |
| 2024-25 | 436 | +364 | -8999 |
| 2025-26 | 409 | -106 | -9105 |
| Match | Market | Pick | Model % | Market % | Stake | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend v Accrington | Match result | Accrington win | 35.6% | 16.3% | $20.00 | +122.00 |
| Bury v Dag and Red | Match result | Dag and Red win | 23.6% | 16.0% | $20.00 | +108.60 |
| Portsmouth v Notts County | Match result | Notts County win | 30.8% | 14.7% | $20.00 | +104.60 |
| Newport County v Southend | Match result | Southend win | 25.7% | 18.4% | $20.00 | +103.00 |
| Crawley Town v Gillingham | Match result | Gillingham win | 38.3% | 15.6% | $20.00 | +100.00 |
| Forest Green v Southend | Match result | Southend win | 27.3% | 19.9% | $20.00 | +99.20 |
| Bury v Morecambe | Match result | Morecambe win | 24.4% | 13.8% | $20.00 | +95.80 |
| Forest Green v Notts County | Match result | Notts County win | 24.0% | 17.3% | $20.00 | +95.80 |
| Wycombe v Newport County | Match result | Newport County win | 26.9% | 16.4% | $20.00 | +89.20 |
| Newport County v Cambridge | Match result |
| Cambridge win |
| 38.0% |
| 20.7% |
| $20.00 |
| +87.60 |
| Notts County v Crawley Town | Match result | Crawley Town win | 26.9% | 20.7% | $20.00 | +86.80 |
| Cambridge v Hartlepool | Match result | Hartlepool win | 23.9% | 18.3% | $18.58 | +85.84 |
| Luton v Swindon | Match result | Swindon win | 27.0% | 18.1% | $20.00 | +83.80 |
| Stevenage v Tranmere | Match result | Tranmere win | 32.3% | 17.5% | $20.00 | +83.00 |
| Lincoln v Crawley Town | Match result | Crawley Town win | 23.9% | 16.4% | $18.10 | +82.72 |