← Premier League 2018-19 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lee Mason, England
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham win | 81% | 87% | 1.20 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 14% | 9% | 7.01 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 6% | 4% | 17.59 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Victor Wanyama · Tottenham |
| 27' | ⚽ | Lucas Moura · Tottenham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Chris Löwe · Huddersfield |
| 60' | 🟨 | Juan Foyth · Tottenham |
| 66' | 🟨 | Juninho Bacuna · Huddersfield |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jan Vertonghen · Tottenham |
| 87' | ⚽ | Lucas Moura · Tottenham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lucas Moura · Tottenham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tottenham | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| coach days | 1747.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1960.98 | 1537.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.86 | -35.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| league points | 64.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 27.04 |
| state index | 1.07 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 255.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |