← Premier League 2017-18 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jonathan Moss, England
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 52% | 70% | 1.88 | value: +32% ⚠ |
| Draw | 28% | 14% | 3.44 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 20% | 16% | 5.01 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Florent Hadergjonaj · Huddersfield |
| 48' | ⚽ | Rajiv Van La Parra · Huddersfield |
| 56' | ⚽ | Steve Mounié · Huddersfield |
| 64' | ⚽ | Craig Dawson · West Brom |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jonny Evans · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 115.00 |
| 846.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1472.01 | 1477.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.25 | -21.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 26.41 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 128.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |