← Premier League 2017-18 · Sat, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Roger East, England
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 34% | 34% | 2.91 | fair |
| Draw | 34% | 33% | 2.92 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 33% | 33% | 2.99 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Christopher Schindler · Huddersfield |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ahmed Hegazy · West Brom |
| 35' | 🟨 | Allan Nyom · West Brom |
| 44' | ⚽ | Rajiv Van La Parra · Huddersfield |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gareth Barry · West Brom |
| 57' | 🟨 | Christopher Schindler · Huddersfield |
| 57' | 🟥 | Christopher Schindler · Huddersfield |
| 70' | 🟨 | Danny Williams · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | James McClean · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 734.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1505.92 | 1499.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.53 | -14.24 |
| eye test v1 | -1.64 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 32.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | -2.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 30.25 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 128.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |