← Premier League 2016-17 · Wed, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Andre Marriner, England
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham win | 80% | 76% | 1.23 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 14% | 7.14 | fair |
| Hull win | 7% | 10% | 14.50 | value: +38% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Christian Eriksen · Tottenham |
| 18' | 🟨 | Harry Maguire · Hull |
| 59' | 🟨 | Curtis Davies · Hull |
| 63' | ⚽ | Christian Eriksen · Tottenham |
| 73' | ⚽ | Victor Wanyama · Tottenham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 27 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tottenham | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | White Hart Lane |
| coach days | 897.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1726.89 | 1419.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.09 | -3.38 |
| eye test v1 | 1.07 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 27.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 28.33 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 239.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |