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FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid CF

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · quarter finals · Wed, Apr 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Vincic

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

-5'🟨Arda Güler · Real Madrid CF
-5'🟨Arda Güler · Real Madrid CF
-5'🟥Arda Güler · Real Madrid CF
1'⚽Arda Güler · Real Madrid CF
6'⚽Aleksandar Pavlovic · FC Bayern München
29'🟨Josip Stanišić · FC Bayern München
29'⚽Arda Güler · Real Madrid CF
38'⚽Harry Kane · FC Bayern München
40'🟨Éder Militão · Real Madrid CF
42'⚽Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid CF
70'🟨Antonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid CF
78'🟨Eduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid CF
86'🟨Eduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid CF
86'🟥Eduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid CF
89'⚽Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München
90'⚽Michael Olise · FC Bayern München

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

2Half-time score3

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricFC Bayern MünchenReal Madrid CF
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.420.42
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.410.42
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.370.47
blown lead rate (last 20)0.050.00
box share (last 5)0.680.69
cards avg (last 5)1.201.20
coach days653.00226.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.100.05
congestion 21d
Everything else we hold on this match · 4 more recorded facts — tap to expand
durationREGULAR
qualifiedhome
stageQUARTER_FINALS
venueAllianz Arena
3.00
3.00
corner diff avg (last 5)4.200.80
corners against avg (last 5)4.005.60
corners for avg (last 5)8.206.40
corners volatility (last 10)3.532.86
elo2127.971990.21
elo momentum (last 5)21.57-15.34
eye test v12.701.92
eye trend v1-0.440.00
first sub minute (last 10)56.5059.60
form points (last 5)15.007.00
goal diff avg (last 5)2.800.00
goals against avg (last 5)0.801.60
goals for avg (last 5)3.601.60
goals volatility (last 10)1.431.20
h2 goals (last 10)2.301.10
ht lead rate (last 20)0.600.30
keeper form v10.720.69
league points30.0027.00
league rank3.004.00
matches since blank20.008.00
matches since clean sheet0.006.00
matches since win0.003.00
pass acc avg (last 5)90.6089.60
possession avg (last 5)68.6055.60
rest days4.105.00
scorer concentration0.260.31
season ppg2.732.08
skill v13.161.56
solidity v1-0.08-0.56
sot against avg (last 5)5.005.40
sot for avg (last 10)8.606.80
sot for avg (last 3)8.338.00
sot for avg (last 5)8.408.20
squad age28.4426.86
state index2.491.01
sterile dominance v10.730.20
threat rate (last 10)0.320.29
threat rate (last 3)0.310.34
threat rate (last 5)0.340.32
venue ppg (last 5)3.001.80
xg against avg (last 5)1.411.51
xg for avg (last 5)3.692.22