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Real Madrid CF 1–2 FC Bayern München

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · quarter finals · Tue, Apr 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Oliver

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

37'🟨Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid CF
41'⚽Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München
46'⚽Harry Kane · FC Bayern München
70'🟨Jonathan Tah · FC Bayern München
74'⚽Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid CF
77'🟨Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München
82'🟨Manuel Neuer · FC Bayern München
86'🟨Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

0Half-time score1

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricReal Madrid CFFC Bayern München
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.420.46
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.500.35
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.500.40
blown lead rate (last 20)0.000.05
box share (last 5)0.650.71
cards avg (last 5)1.002.00
coach days218.00645.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.050.10
congestion 21d3.003.00
corner diff avg (last 5)-2.003.80
Everything else we hold on this match · 4 more recorded facts — tap to expand
durationREGULAR
qualifiedaway
stageQUARTER_FINALS
venueBernabéu
corners against avg (last 5)
6.00
3.00
corners for avg (last 5)4.006.80
corners volatility (last 10)2.363.23
elo1950.332051.63
elo momentum (last 5)13.9018.59
eye test v11.512.69
eye trend v10.15-0.61
first sub minute (last 10)62.0054.70
form points (last 5)12.0013.00
goal diff avg (last 5)1.402.60
goals against avg (last 5)1.201.00
goals for avg (last 5)2.603.60
goals volatility (last 10)1.201.35
h2 goals (last 10)1.102.10
ht lead rate (last 20)0.400.50
keeper form v10.620.67
league points27.0027.00
league rank2.003.00
matches since blank6.0020.00
matches since clean sheet4.001.00
matches since win1.000.00
pass acc avg (last 5)89.2090.60
possession avg (last 5)51.2067.60
rest days3.203.23
scorer concentration0.270.24
season ppg2.252.70
skill v11.273.03
solidity v10.29-0.49
sot against avg (last 5)4.404.60
sot for avg (last 10)6.209.20
sot for avg (last 3)7.678.67
sot for avg (last 5)7.208.80
squad age25.4828.13
state index1.672.28
sterile dominance v10.240.82
threat rate (last 10)0.270.32
threat rate (last 3)0.280.36
threat rate (last 5)0.280.33
venue ppg (last 5)2.402.60
xg against avg (last 5)1.111.85
xg for avg (last 5)2.123.56