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Man City 1–2 Real Madrid CF

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · last 16 · Tue, Mar 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Turpin

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

20'🟥Bernardo Silva · Man City
22'⚽ (pen)Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid CF
41'⚽Erling Haaland · Man City
45'🟨Abdukodir Khusanov · Man City
76'🟨Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid CF
80'🟨Trent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid CF
90'⚽Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid CF

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

1Half-time score1

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricMan CityReal Madrid CF
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.380.40
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.360.41
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.380.38
blown lead rate (last 20)0.200.00
box share (last 5)0.730.65
cards avg (last 5)1.401.60
coach days3546.00197.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.000.00
congestion 21d4.005.00
corner diff avg (last 5)5.200.40
corners against avg (last 5)
Everything else we hold on this match · 4 more recorded facts — tap to expand
durationREGULAR
qualifiedaway
stageLAST_16
venueEtihad Stadium
2.60
4.80
corners for avg (last 5)7.805.20
corners volatility (last 10)3.752.67
elo1883.951952.11
elo momentum (last 5)-14.1910.48
eye test v10.860.67
eye trend v1-0.01-0.08
first sub minute (last 10)57.1059.70
form points (last 5)8.0012.00
goal diff avg (last 5)-0.201.40
goals against avg (last 5)1.400.80
goals for avg (last 5)1.202.20
goals volatility (last 10)0.821.29
h2 goals (last 10)0.301.00
ht lead rate (last 20)0.650.45
keeper form v10.760.71
league points16.0024.00
league rank16.002.00
matches since blank1.003.00
matches since clean sheet3.001.00
matches since win3.000.00
pass acc avg (last 5)89.4089.20
possession avg (last 5)64.6056.60
rest days3.003.00
scorer concentration0.360.29
season ppg1.782.18
skill v11.561.14
solidity v10.150.95
sot against avg (last 5)4.203.20
sot for avg (last 10)5.305.60
sot for avg (last 3)5.675.33
sot for avg (last 5)5.805.40
squad age25.9826.38
state index0.901.51
sterile dominance v11.220.71
threat rate (last 10)0.240.25
threat rate (last 3)0.260.27
threat rate (last 5)0.250.26
venue ppg (last 5)2.601.80
xg against avg (last 5)1.240.92
xg for avg (last 5)1.621.55