Real Madrid CF 3–0 Man City

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · last 16 · Wed, Mar 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

20'	⚽	Federico Valverde · Real Madrid CF
27'	⚽	Federico Valverde · Real Madrid CF
42'	⚽	Federico Valverde · Real Madrid CF
57'	🟨	Gianluigi Donnarumma · Man City
82'	🟨	Rayan Aït-Nouri · Man City

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

Half-time score

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

Metric	Real Madrid CF	Man City
accuracy ratio (last 10)	0.37	0.34
accuracy ratio (last 3)	0.30	0.39
accuracy ratio (last 5)	0.33	0.39
blown lead rate (last 20)	0.00	0.20
box share (last 5)	0.64	0.63
cards avg (last 5)	2.20	2.40
coach days	191.00	3540.00
comeback rate (last 20)	0.00	0.00
congestion 21d	4.00	3.00
corner diff avg (last 5)	3.40	0.40
corners against avg (last 5)	3.20	4.00
corners for avg (last 5)	6.60	4.40
corners volatility (last 10)	2.01	1.07
elo	1936.43	1902.38
elo momentum (last 5)	-11.04	21.24
eye test v1	0.46	1.07
eye trend v1	-0.26	0.26
first sub minute (last 10)	62.20	57.50
form points (last 5)	9.00	13.00
goal diff avg (last 5)	0.20	1.20
goals against avg (last 5)	1.00	0.80
goals for avg (last 5)	1.20	2.00
goals volatility (last 10)	1.03	0.82
h2 goals (last 10)	1.10	0.40
ht lead rate (last 20)	0.40	0.75
keeper form v1	0.71	0.78
league points	21.00	16.00
league rank	3.00	14.00
matches since blank	1.00	9.00
matches since clean sheet	4.00	1.00
matches since win	0.00	1.00
pass acc avg (last 5)	89.80	88.40
possession avg (last 5)	63.00	60.20
rest days	5.00	7.02
scorer concentration	0.36	0.36
season ppg	2.10	2.00
skill v1	1.28	1.49
solidity v1	0.61	0.50
sot against avg (last 5)	3.20	4.00
sot for avg (last 10)	5.30	5.00
sot for avg (last 3)	4.67	6.33
sot for avg (last 5)	5.20	6.20
squad age	27.07	26.76
state index	1.24	1.40
sterile dominance v1	1.19	0.82
threat rate (last 10)	0.24	0.24
threat rate (last 3)	0.24	0.26
threat rate (last 5)	0.25	0.27
venue ppg (last 5)	2.40	1.40
xg against avg (last 5)	1.19	1.13
xg for avg (last 5)	1.27	1.92

Everything else we hold on this match · 3 more recorded facts — tap to expand

duration	REGULAR
qualified	home
stage	LAST_16