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Newcastle 3–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · playoffs · Tue, Feb 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Massa

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

4'⚽Sandro Tonali · Newcastle
6'⚽Joelinton · Newcastle
51'⚽Camilo Duran · Qarabağ Ağdam FK
52'⚽Sven Botman · Newcastle
57'⚽Elvin Jafarguliyev · Qarabağ Ağdam FK
80'🟨Pedro Bicalho · Qarabağ Ağdam FK

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

2Half-time score0

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricNewcastleQarabağ Ağdam FK
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.380.33
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.470.30
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.380.31
blown lead rate (last 20)0.10—
box share (last 5)0.670.57
cards avg (last 5)2.400.00
coach days1576.00238.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.05—
congestion 21d4.001.00
corner diff avg (last 5)3.60-1.80
corners against avg (last 5)
Everything else we hold on this match · 4 more recorded facts — tap to expand
durationREGULAR
qualifiedhome
stagePLAYOFFS
venueSt James' Park
5.00
6.60
corners for avg (last 5)8.604.80
corners volatility (last 10)3.132.35
elo1773.771560.07
elo momentum (last 5)-6.31-23.31
eye test v11.20-0.55
eye trend v10.61-0.03
first sub minute (last 10)61.3058.70
form points (last 5)6.003.00
goal diff avg (last 5)0.20-2.80
goals against avg (last 5)2.204.00
goals for avg (last 5)2.401.20
goals volatility (last 10)1.891.17
h2 goals (last 10)0.70—
ht lead rate (last 20)0.40—
keeper form v10.650.58
league points17.0010.00
league rank8.0022.00
matches since blank6.001.00
matches since clean sheet7.007.00
matches since win1.002.00
pass acc avg (last 5)82.8085.00
possession avg (last 5)50.0047.20
rest days3.006.09
scorer concentration0.310.36
season ppg1.891.11
skill v10.91-0.03
solidity v1-0.53-4.56
sot against avg (last 5)4.609.40
sot for avg (last 10)5.703.10
sot for avg (last 3)8.672.67
sot for avg (last 5)6.403.40
squad age27.4528.23
state index0.67-0.69
sterile dominance v1-0.330.38
threat rate (last 10)0.280.20
threat rate (last 3)0.370.16
threat rate (last 5)0.320.22
venue ppg (last 5)1.800.60
xg against avg (last 5)1.553.57
xg for avg (last 5)2.270.81