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Chelsea 5–1 AFC Ajax

← UEFA Champions League 2025 · league stage · Wed, Oct 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

17'🟥Kenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax
18'⚽Marc Guiu · Chelsea
27'⚽Moisés Caicedo · Chelsea
31'🟨Tosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea
33'⚽ (pen)Wout Weghorst · AFC Ajax
45'🟨Wout Weghorst · AFC Ajax
45'⚽ (pen)Enzo Fernández · Chelsea
45'⚽ (pen)Estêvão · Chelsea
48'⚽Tyrique George · Chelsea
56'🟨Estêvão · Chelsea

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

4Half-time score1

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricChelseaAFC Ajax
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.36—
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.41—
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.33—
blown lead rate (last 20)0.050.05
box share (last 5)0.62—
cards avg (last 5)2.602.80
coach days82.0082.00
comeback rate (last 20)0.050.05
congestion 21d
Everything else we hold on this match · 4 more recorded facts — tap to expand
durationREGULAR
qualifiedhome
stageLEAGUE_STAGE
venueStamford Bridge
2.00
2.00
corner diff avg (last 5)-0.40-0.60
corners against avg (last 5)4.805.20
corners for avg (last 5)4.404.60
corners volatility (last 10)2.662.56
elo1821.541699.46
elo momentum (last 5)-1.00-28.77
eye test v1-0.210.18
eye trend v10.24-0.47
first sub minute (last 10)45.9052.00
form points (last 5)9.005.00
goal diff avg (last 5)0.40-1.00
goals against avg (last 5)1.202.40
goals for avg (last 5)1.601.40
goals volatility (last 10)1.401.18
h2 goals (last 10)1.000.70
ht lead rate (last 20)0.350.35
keeper form v1—0.64
matches since blank9.000.00
matches since clean sheet0.008.00
matches since win0.003.00
pass acc avg (last 5)85.2086.60
possession avg (last 5)55.6057.40
rest days4.314.00
season ppg1.500.00
skill v10.600.91
solidity v1-0.05-0.83
sot against avg (last 5)2.805.00
sot for avg (last 10)4.406.00
sot for avg (last 3)5.004.00
sot for avg (last 5)3.804.20
squad age23.9624.33
state index1.06-0.08
sterile dominance v10.960.90
threat rate (last 10)0.220.26
threat rate (last 3)0.240.26
threat rate (last 5)0.200.23
venue ppg (last 5)2.000.80
xg against avg (last 5)1.851.66
xg for avg (last 5)1.171.38