← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, May 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Correia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefan Leković · CF Estrela da Amadora |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 319.00 | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1777.62 | 1443.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.26 | -10.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 58.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.91 | 4.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.29 |