← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, May 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Pereira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| FC Alverca win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| FC Famalicão −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Nabil Touaizi · FC Alverca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · FC Famalicão |
| 83' | ⚽ | Umar Abubakar · FC Famalicão |
| 86' | 🟨 | Chiquinho · FC Alverca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | FC Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| coach days | 531.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1645.20 | 1518.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.02 | 7.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.30 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 53.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 5.01 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 1.18 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 25.72 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.08 |