← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, May 11, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Verissimo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CF Estrela da Amadora +0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Famalicão +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | 🟨 | Gustavo García · FC Famalicão |
| 65' | 🟨 | Renan Ribeiro · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Pinho · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jefferson Encada · CF Estrela da Amadora |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CF Estrela da Amadora | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio José Gomes |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 314.00 | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1438.78 | 1657.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.15 | 23.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 9.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.18 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.84 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.34 |