← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, May 10, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Macedo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 72% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| AVS win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AVS +1.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| FC Porto +1.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Roni · AVS |
| 53' | ⚽ | Deniz Gül · FC Porto |
| 58' | ⚽ | Roni · AVS |
| 59' | 🟨 | Roni · AVS |
| 61' | 🟨 | Dominik Prpić · FC Porto |
| 80' | ⚽ | Aderllan Santos · AVS |
| 85' | 🟨 | Pedro Lima · AVS |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Prpić · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dominik Prpić · FC Porto |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AVS | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves |
| coach days | 282.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1390.88 | 1880.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.03 | -2.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.79 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| league points | 17.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 2.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | 0.64 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 24.93 |
| state index | -0.24 | 1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.46 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.82 |