← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Apr 26, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Macedo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| GD Estoril Praia +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · FC Famalicão |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Justin De Haas · FC Famalicão |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | GD Estoril Praia | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio António Coimbra da Mota |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 664.00 | 511.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1550.50 | 1635.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.40 | 23.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 37.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.57 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 25.73 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.37 |