← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Apr 19, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Pereira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 83% | 1.11 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.00 |
| CD Tondela win | 4% | 21.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto −2 | 53% | 1.80 |
| CD Tondela −2 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Jakub Kiwior · FC Porto |
| 21' | 🟨 | Maranhão · CD Tondela |
| 35' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Mora · FC Porto |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joe Hodge · CD Tondela |
| 48' | ⚽ | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
| 50' | 🟨 | Christian Marques · CD Tondela |
| 65' | ⚽ | Victor Froholdt · FC Porto |
| 80' | 🟨 | Siphephelo Sithole · CD Tondela |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alberto Costa · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Conceição |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | CD Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Do Dragão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hugo Félix · CD Tondela |
| coach days | 322.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1874.88 | 1414.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.80 | -20.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 76.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 6.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.62 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.52 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.16 |