← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Apr 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Nobre
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Casa Pia AC win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Casa Pia AC +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | 🟨 | Lucas Soares · CD Santa Clara |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pedro Rosas · Casa Pia AC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Claudio Mendes · Casa Pia AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Henrique Silva · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Casa Pia AC | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior |
| coach days | 260.00 | 1022.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1482.70 | 1510.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.53 | 14.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.78 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.84 |