← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Apr 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: H. Carvalho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| AVS win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AVS −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Rio Ave FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Ole Pohlmann · Rio Ave FC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Tomané · AVS |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave FC |
| 68' | ⚽ | Pedro Lima · AVS |
| 79' | ⚽ | Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paulo Vitor · AVS |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tomané · AVS |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube |
| coach days | 259.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1517.49 | 1365.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.83 | -1.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 46.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 33.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 6.22 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -1.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.70 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 0.54 |