← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Apr 11, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Nogueira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 55% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| CD Santa Clara −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Jakub Brabec · Rio Ave FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave FC |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Sidney Lima · Rio Ave FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gustavo Mancha · Rio Ave FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Tamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gabriel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 87' | 🟨 | Henrique Silva · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| coach days | 1015.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1523.74 | 1492.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.60 | 22.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 28.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.96 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 25.54 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.66 |