← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Apr 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Correia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Moreirense FC win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Moreirense FC −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Alonso · Moreirense FC |
| 11' | 🟨 | Sorriso · FC Famalicão |
| 30' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Alonso · Moreirense FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alan · Moreirense FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Nile John · Moreirense FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · FC Famalicão |
| 71' | ⚽ | Pedro Santos · FC Famalicão |
| 73' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 74' | 🟨 | Kiko · Moreirense FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Maracás |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 2 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Ba · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Ferreira · Moreirense FC |
| coach days | 495.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1634.18 | 1533.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.04 | -26.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 46.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.01 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.21 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.62 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.71 |