← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Apr 13, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Fonseca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| CD Tondela win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| CD Tondela +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · CD Tondela |
| 7' | 🟨 | Christian Marques · CD Tondela |
| 16' | ⚽ | Rony Lopes · CD Tondela |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Moudjatovic · CD Tondela |
| 57' | 🟨 | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | João Silva · CD Tondela |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Conceição · CD Tondela |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Buatu · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Carlos Eduardo · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joe Hodge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Tondela | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio João Cardoso |
| coach days | 286.00 | 408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1417.68 | 1594.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.08 | -17.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 20.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 10.09 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.22 |