← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Apr 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. J. Costa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 64% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Moreirense FC win | 12% | 7.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga +1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Moreirense FC +1 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Fran Navarro · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gustaf Lagerbielke · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 76' | 🟨 | Fran Navarro · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 85' | 🟨 | Pau Víctor · Sporting Clube de Braga |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Moreirense FC | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1546.09 | 1777.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.01 | -7.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 14.06 | 12.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | -0.59 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 1.25 |